Friday, October 23, 2026·Focal News

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Full moon and northeast winds raise flood risk along First Coast into Monday

A Coastal Flood Watch is in effect through Monday as persistent northeast winds and the approaching full moon could push water 1.5 to 2.5 feet above normal. Dangerous surf, rip currents and gusty winds are also expected across Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia.

Full moon and northeast winds raise flood risk along First Coast into Monday

Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia could see moderate, locally major tidal flooding through the weekend and into early next week, even in places that receive little rain.

A Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect through Monday, with a possible extension into Tuesday or Wednesday if conditions require it. Water levels could rise about 1.5 to 2.5 feet above normal, putting low-lying neighborhoods, roads and properties near tidal creeks, rivers, the Intracoastal Waterway and other coastal waterways at risk.

The threat comes from strengthening northeast winds pushing water toward the coast, coinciding with Monday’s full moon and its higher astronomical tides. The strongest winds are expected over the weekend and into early next week.

Beach conditions are also expected to worsen. A high risk of rip currents is forecast through much of the weekend, and surf could reach 7 to 10 feet by Sunday. A High Surf Advisory may be issued. Gale-force northeast winds could develop offshore as early as Friday night and are more likely over the weekend and early next week.

Rain is expected, particularly Saturday, but it is not forecast to be the main concern. Coastal areas could receive about a half-inch to an inch, while locations farther inland—from the I-95 to I-75 corridor—are forecast to get roughly 0.01 to 0.50 inches. Repeated showers could bring locally heavier totals near the coast.

Winds are forecast to increase Friday and strengthen Saturday, when gusts could reach 33 mph. Saturday has the best chance for showers, with another chance of scattered showers Sunday. Rain chances should diminish Monday and Tuesday, though breezy conditions and elevated coastal water levels could persist even as sunshine returns.

Residents in flood-prone areas should monitor water levels, especially around high tide. Officials advise against driving through flooded roads, and beachgoers are urged to stay out of dangerous surf. Boaters should watch marine conditions as winds and seas build.

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